Forecasting the situation on the labor market

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By 2030, the need for workers will decrease in agriculture, trade, finance and insurance, the Ministry of Economic Development expects. The department estimated the total reduction in demand for labor in these industries at more than 700 thousand people

By 2030, demand for workers will decrease in such sectors of the Russian economy as agriculture, financial and insurance activities, real estate and trade. This follows from benin whatsapp resource the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development, contained in the materials for the September meeting of the Presidium of the State Council on the labor market (the documents are at the disposal of RBC, their authenticity was confirmed by a source familiar with the content). The total decrease in demand for labor in these areas will amount to 720 thousand people.

During his speech at the State Council, Minister of Labor and Social Protection Anton Kotyakov reported that the demand for labor will grow until 2030, and the economy's personnel needs will amount to 73.6 million people. However, the Ministry of Economic Development estimates the need for personnel by 2030 to be slightly lower, at 73.1 million people.
until 2030 is carried out by departments on the instructions of President Vladimir Putin. It is assumed that from 2024 the government will begin to annually prepare a five-year forecast for the personnel needs of the Russian economy.

The extended meeting of the State Council Presidium on the issue of labor market development was prepared by the Ministry of Labor and Social Protection, while the Ministry of Economic Development provided the Ministry of Labor with its assessments, the press service of the Ministry of Economic Development told RBK. "The state of the labor market and its development prospects will be determined by a set of factors, including the economic situation in the country, structural restructuring of industries, long-term demographic factors, the level of education and skills of the population that meet the needs of the economy, digitalization and automation of processes in industries, and accelerated increases in labor productivity," the Ministry of Economy listed, adding that for this purpose, in particular, it is proposed to extend and expand the national project "Labor Productivity" until 2030.

Where the need for labor will decrease
According to the forecast of the Ministry of Economic Development, the demand for those employed in agriculture will decrease by 300 thousand people (from 4.5 million in 2022), in trade - by 200 thousand (from 13.3 million), in financial and insurance activities - by 100 thousand (from 1.3 million). Similarly, a decrease in demand for specialists in the real estate sector is expected by 100 thousand people (from 1.9 million in 2022).

As noted in the materials for the State Council meeting, agriculture, finance and insurance, and real estate transactions in 2017–2022 were characterized by a decrease in the number of employed and a simultaneous increase in real added value and output. In trade, along with education, there was a decrease in both added value and employment.